ECONOMETRICS

Analyse et politique économiques and Politique publique et développement (Master 1)

EHESS - Paris School of Economics

2009-2010




Instructors:
Christelle Dumas (christelle.dumas@u-cergy.fr), Marc Gurgand (gurgand@pse.ens.fr),
Luc Behaghel (luc.behaghel@ens.fr), Melika Ben Salem (melika.bensalem@cee-recherche.fr).

Teaching assistants:
Mohamed Badrane Mahjoub (Mohamed-Badrane.Mahjoub@univ-paris1.fr)
Teamwork (PPD only): Pauline Charnoz (pauline.charnoz@insee.fr)





The course of econometrics is taught in four parts (1 to 4), one per instructor (5 sessions of 3 hours each).

Exercise classes will be given by Mohamed Badrane Mahjoub (3 sessions of 3 hours for each part of the course). Problem sets will in general be handed out by the instructor in advance. Students are asked to make written preparations. They will have to use computers on their own for some of the problems: they should then bring their codes and results to the class; no computer work will take place during the class itself.

Mohamed Badrane Mahjoub will hold office hours every other week (dates and place to be announced). Use this opportunity for questions and individual help.

In general, materials for the class (slides, readings, lecture notes) will be available on the master web page before the lecture.
Handbooks

Cameron A. & Trivedi P., Microeconometrics, methods and applications, Cambridge University Press, 2005.
Wooldridge J., Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, South-Western College Publishing, 2000.
Wooldridge J., Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, MIT Press, 2002.

Exam
The course as a whole accounts for 12 ECTS. The detail is as follows:
• 15%: short exam on part 1 (during one of the class sessions)
• 30%: exam on parts 1 and 2 (Fall term exam session)
• 5%: exercise class grade (based on written preparations and oral participation during the first 6 exercise class sessions)
• 15%: short exam on part 3 (during one of the class sessions)
• 30%: exam on parts 3 and 4 (Spring term exam session)
• 5%: exercise class grade (based on written preparations and oral participation during the last 6 exercise class sessions)

For those failing to reach a mark of 10 out of 20 (10/20), a catch-up exam (“session de rattrapage”) will be held as an oral examination in September.


Team work (PPD ONLY)
The teamwork in econometrics is part of the requirement for the PPD master students. It accounts for 3 ECTS.
It is the opportunity for you to apply econometric methods on economic questions of your choice, using real datasets.
link on teamwork instructions




Lectures

Linear Econometrics: 21 oct | 28 oct | 4 nov | 18 nov | 25 nov

Policy Evaluation Methods: 2 dec | 9 dec | 16 dec | 6 jan | 13 jan

Discrete Models and Panel Data: Jan 20 | Jan 27 | Feb 3 | Feb 10 | Feb 24

Time series: Mar 3 | Mar 10 | Mar 17 | Mar 24 | Mar 31

Exercise classes

16/27 oct | 2/6 nov | 16/18 nov | 7/8 dec | 14 dec | 5/6 jan

Jan 19/20 | Feb 2/3 | Feb 23/24 | Mar 9/10 | Mar 23/24 | Apr 7
Christelle Dumas
October 21, 2009
13:30 - 16:30

Linear Econometrics: 1. Introduction and Simple linear regression model

Slides for the introduction
Slides for the simple regression model

Papers presented in class:
Krueger A., "Experimental estimates of education production functions", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 2, 497-532, 1999.

Additional references:
Angrist, J. and S. Pischke, "Mostly harmless econometrics: an Empiricist's companion", Princeton University Press, 2009.

Textbook chapters:
Wooldridge introductory: chapter 2.

Exercise Class
October 16/27, 2009

Statistics, introduction to Stata, simple regression model

Preliminary: Exercises on statistics
Exercise sheet # 1
Wages.xls for exercise 4

Christelle Dumas
October 28, 2009
13:30 - 16:30

Linear Econometrics: 2. Multivariate regression model

Slides

Papers presented in class:
Banerjee A., E. Duflo, R. Glennerster and C. Kinnan "The miracle of microfinance? Evidence from a randomized evaluation", unpublished, 2009.


Textbook chapters:
Wooldridge introductory: chapter 3; ch 6-2,6-3,7-2,7-3,7-4.

Exercise Class
November 2/6, 2009

Multivariate models

Exercise sheet # 2
Coleman paper for exercise 3
eggs.dta for exercise 2

Christelle Dumas
November 4, 2009
13:30 - 16:30

Linear Econometrics: 3. Tests, asymptotics

Slides

Papers presented in class:
Textbook chapters:
Wooldridge introductory: chapters 4 and 5.

Exercise Class
November 16/18, 2009

Tests

Exercise sheet # 3
Jacoby paper for exercise 3
wage2.dta for exercise 4



Christelle Dumas
November 18, 2009
13:30 - 16:30

Linear Econometrics: 4. Instrumental variables

Slides

Papers presented in class:
Duflo E., "Schooling and Labor Market Consequences of School Construction in Indonesia: Evidence from an Unusual Policy Experiment", The American Economic Review, 91, 4, 795-813, 2001.
Angrist J. and A. Krueger, "Does Compulsory School Attendance Affect Schooling and Earnings?", The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, 4, 979-1014, 1991.

Textbook chapters:
Wooldridge advanced: sections 5.1-5.2.

Christelle Dumas
November 25, 2009
13:30 - 16:30

Linear Econometrics: 5. Data application: What is crucial? Father's or mother's education?

No paper presented in class


Do file in Stata

Data Demo_2.dta

Data educ_2.dta

Data parent.dta

Log file

Marc Gurgand
December 2, 2009
13:30 - 16:30

Econometrics of evaluation: 1. Rubin's causal model, controled experiments

Slides

Papers presented in class:
Krueger A., "Experimental estimates of education production function", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 2, 497-532, 1999.

Additional references:
Duflo E., Glennerster R. & Kremer M., "Using randomization in development economics research: a toolkit", NBER Technical working paper 333, 2006.

Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 25.1-25.3.
Wooldridge: sections 18.1-18.2.

Exercise Class
December 7/8, 2009

IV and Random experiments

Exercise sheet # 4
wage2.dta for exercise



Marc Gurgand
December 9, 2009
9:30 - 12:30

Econometrics of evaluation: 2. Advanced instrumental variables: weak instruments and heterogeneous effects

Slides

Papers presented in class:
Angrist J. & Evans W., "Children and their parents' labor supply: Evidence from exogenous variation in family size", American Economic Review, vol.88, 450-477, 1998.
Imbens G. & Angrist J.,"Identification and estimation of local average treatment effects" Econometrica, vol.62, 467-475, 1994.
Bound J., Jaeger D. & Baker R., "Problems with instrumental variables estimation when the correlation between the instruments and the endogeneous explanatory variable is weak", Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol.90, 443-450, 1995.
Rosenzweig M. & Wolpin K.,"Natural 'Natural experiments' in economics", Journal of Economic Literature, vol.38, 827-874, 2000.

Additional references:
Angrist J. & Imbens G., "Two-stage least squares estimation of average causal effects in models with variable treatment intensity", Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol.90, 431-442, 1995.
Card D.,"Estimating returns to schooling: progress on some persistent econometric problems" Econometrica, vol.69, 1127-1160, 2001.
Cruz L. & Moreira M., "On the validity of econometric techniques with weak instruments", Journal of Human Ressources, vol.40, 394-410, 2005.

Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 4.8, 4.9 & 25.7.
Wooldridge: sections 18.4.

Exercise Class
December 14, 2009

Experiments and advanced instrumental variables

Exercise sheet # 5
Paper for exercise: Miguel E. & Kremer M., "Worms: identifying impacts on education and health in the presence of treatment externalities", Econometrica, 72, 1, 159-217, 2004.
Data for exercice:power.dta



Marc Gurgand
December 16, 2009
9:30 - 12:30

Policy Evaluation: 3. Difference-in-difference and regression discontinuity design

Slides diff-in-diff
Slides regression discontinuity

Papers presented in class:
Duflo E., "Schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in Indonesia: Evidence from an unusual policy experiment", American Economic Review, vol.91, n.4, September 2001.
Eissa N.& Liebman J., "Labor supply response to the earned income tax credit", Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.111, n.2, May 1996.
Angrist J. & Lavy V.,"Using Maimonide's rule to estimate the effect of class size on scholastic achievement", Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.114, 533-574, 1999.
Oreopoulos Ph., "Estimating average and local average treatment effects of education when compulsory schooling laws really matter", American Economic Review, vol.96, n.1, 2006.

Additional references:
Abadie A., "Semiparametric difference-in-differences estimators", Review of Economic Studies, vol. 72, 2005.
Athey S. & Imbens G., "Identification and inference in nonlinear difference-in-difference models", Econometrica, vol.74, March, 2006.
Bertrand M., Duflo E. & Mullainathan S., "How much should we trust differences-in-differences estimates", Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.119, n.1, February 2004.
Conley T. & Taber Ch., "Inference with difference in differences with a small number of policy changes", NBER technical working paper 312, June 2005.
Hahn J., Todd P. & Van der Klaauw W., "Identification and estimation of treatment effects with a regression-discontinuity design", Econometrica, vol.69, n.1, January, 2001.
Imbens G. & Lemieux Th., "Regression discontinuity designs: A guide to practice", NBER Technical working paper 337, 2007.
Lee D. & Lemieux Th., "Regression discontinuity designs in economics", NBER Working paper 14723, 2009.

Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 25.5, 25.6.

Exercise Class
January 5/6, 2010

Weak instruments and Regression discontinuity design

Exercise sheet #6
Paper for exercice 2: Th. Lemieux and K. Milligan, ''Incentive effects of social assitance: A regression discontinuity approach'', Journal of Econometrics? 142, 2008
Data for exercice 1: ssex.dta



Marc Gurgand
January 6, 2010
9:30 - 12:30

Policy Evaluation: 4. Matching estimators

Slides

Papers presented in class:
Dehejia R. & et Wahba S., "Propensity score matching methods for nonexperimental causal studies", Review of Economics and Statistics, 84, 151-161, 2002.
Arceneaux K., Gerber A. & Green D., "Comparing experimental and matching methods using a large-scale field experiment on voter mobilization", Political Analysis, vol.14, n.1, 37-62, 2006.


Additional references:
Abadie A. & Imbens G., "On the failure of the bootstrap for matching estimators", Econometrica, 76, 1537-1558, 2008.
Caliendo M. & Kopeinig S., "Some practical guidance for the implementation of propensity score matching", IZA Discussion paper, 1588, 2005.
Frolich M., "Finite-sample properties of propensity-score matching and weighting estimators", Review of Economics and Statistics, 86, 77-90, 2004.
Heckman J., Ichimura H. & Todd, "Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator: Evidence from evaluating a job training programme", Review of Economic Studies, vol. 64, 605-654, 1997.
Heckman J., Ichimura H. & Todd, "Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator", Review of Economic Studies, vol. 65, 261-294, 1998.
Guido Imbens: "Semiparametric Estimation of Average Treatment Effects under Exogeneity: A Review", Review of Economics and Statistics, 86, 4-29, 2004.
Lalonde R., "Evaluating the econometric evaluations of training programs with experimental data", American Economic Review, vol. 76, n. 4, 604-620, 1986.
Zhao Z., "Using matching to estimate treatment effects: data requirement, matching metrics and Monte Carlo evidence", Review of Economics and Statistics, 86, 91-107, 2004.
Zhao Z., "Sensitivity of propensity score methods to the specifications",IZA Discussion paper, 1873, 2005.

Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 25.4 & 25.8.
Wooldridge: sections 18.3.

Stata codes on Guido Imbens' website
Marc Gurgand
January 13, 2010
9:30 - 12:30

Policy Evaluation: 5. Data application - Implementing a random experiment

No Slides

No papers presented in class

Luc Behaghel
January 20, 2010
9:30 - 12:30

Models for binary outcomes

Slides

Lecture notes

Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 14.1 to 14.4

Exercise Class
January 19/20, 2010

Binary outcomes

Exercise sheet #7

Data for exercise 2
Paper for exercice 6: Angrist & Evans (AER98)
Data for exercice 6: ssex.dta


Luc Behaghel
January 27, 2010
9:30 - 12:30

Models for binary outcomes

Slides

Lecture notes

Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 15.1 to 15.4

Luc Behaghel
February 3, 2010
9:30 - 12:30

Corner solutions, censored data and selected sample

Slides

Lecture notes

Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 16.1 to 16.3

Exercise Class
February 2/3, 2010

Discrete outcomes

Exercise sheet #8

Data for exercise 2
Paper for exercise 3: Schmidt & Strauss (IER75)


Luc Behaghel
February 10, 2010
9:30 - 12:30

Panel data

Slides

Lecture notes

Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: chapter 21

Exercise Class
February 23/24, 2010

Corner solutions, censored data, selected samples and panel data

Exercise sheet #9

Data for exercise 1 and 2
Paper for exercise 3: AJRY (AER 2005)
Paper for exercise 4: CK (AER 1994)


Luc Behaghel
February 24, 2010
9:30 - 12:30

Data application: sample selectivity bias in a job search experiment

No slides


Mélika Ben Salem
March 3, 2010
9:30 - 12:30

ARIMA Processes

Slides

Textbook chapters:
Hamilton: chapters 2, 3, 4, 17

Exercise Class
March 9/10, 2010

ARIMA Processes

Exercise sheet #10

Data for exercise 4
Program for exercise 4