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ECONOMETRICS
Analyse et politique économiques and Politique
publique et développement (Master 1)
EHESS - Paris School of Economics
2009-2010
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Instructors: Christelle Dumas
(christelle.dumas@u-cergy.fr), Marc Gurgand (gurgand@pse.ens.fr), Luc
Behaghel (luc.behaghel@ens.fr), Melika Ben Salem
(melika.bensalem@cee-recherche.fr).
Teaching assistants:
Mohamed Badrane Mahjoub (Mohamed-Badrane.Mahjoub@univ-paris1.fr)
Teamwork (PPD only): Pauline Charnoz
(pauline.charnoz@insee.fr)
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The course of econometrics is taught in
four parts (1 to 4), one per instructor (5 sessions of 3 hours
each).
Exercise classes will be given by Mohamed Badrane Mahjoub (3
sessions of 3 hours for each part of the course). Problem sets will in
general be handed out by the instructor in advance. Students are asked to
make written preparations. They will have to use computers on their own
for some of the problems: they should then bring their codes and results
to the class; no computer work will take place during the class
itself.
Mohamed Badrane Mahjoub will hold office hours every other
week (dates and place to be announced). Use this opportunity for questions
and individual help.
In general, materials for the class (slides,
readings, lecture notes) will be available on the master web page before
the lecture.
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| Handbooks
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Cameron A. & Trivedi P., Microeconometrics, methods and
applications, Cambridge University Press, 2005. Wooldridge J.,
Introductory Econometrics: A Modern
Approach, South-Western College Publishing, 2000. Wooldridge J.,
Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and
Panel Data, MIT Press, 2002.
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Exam
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The course as a whole accounts for 12 ECTS.
The detail is as follows: • 15%: short exam on part 1 (during one of
the class sessions) • 30%: exam on parts 1 and 2 (Fall term exam
session) • 5%: exercise class grade (based on written preparations and
oral participation during the first 6 exercise class sessions) • 15%:
short exam on part 3 (during one of the class sessions) • 30%: exam on
parts 3 and 4 (Spring term exam session) • 5%: exercise class grade
(based on written preparations and oral participation during the last 6
exercise class sessions)
For those failing to reach a mark of 10
out of 20 (10/20), a catch-up exam (“session de rattrapage”) will be held
as an oral examination in September.
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Team
work (PPD ONLY) |
The teamwork in econometrics is part of the
requirement for the PPD master students. It accounts for 3 ECTS. It is
the opportunity for you to apply econometric methods on economic questions
of your choice, using real datasets. link
on teamwork instructions
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Lectures
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Linear
Econometrics: 21
oct | 28
oct | 4
nov | 18
nov | 25
nov
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Policy
Evaluation Methods: 2
dec | 9
dec | 16
dec | 6
jan | 13
jan
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Discrete
Models and Panel Data: Jan 20
| Jan 27
| Feb 3
| Feb 10
| Feb 24
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Time
series: Mar 3
| Mar 10
| Mar 17
| Mar 24
| Mar 31
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Exercise
classes |
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16/27
oct | 2/6
nov | 16/18
nov | 7/8 dec
| 14 dec
| 5/6 jan
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Jan 19/20 |
Feb 2/3 |
Feb 23/24 |
Mar 9/10 |
Mar 23/24 |
Apr 7
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Christelle
Dumas October 21, 2009 13:30 - 16:30 |
Linear
Econometrics: 1. Introduction and Simple linear regression model
Slides
for the introduction Slides
for the simple regression model Papers presented in
class: Krueger
A., "Experimental estimates of education production functions", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 2,
497-532, 1999. Additional
references: Angrist, J. and S. Pischke, "Mostly harmless
econometrics: an Empiricist's companion", Princeton University Press,
2009. Textbook chapters:
Wooldridge introductory: chapter 2. |
Exercise
Class October 16/27, 2009
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Christelle
Dumas October 28, 2009 13:30 - 16:30 |
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Exercise
Class November 2/6, 2009
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Christelle
Dumas November 4, 2009 13:30 - 16:30 |
Linear
Econometrics: 3. Tests, asymptotics
Slides
Papers
presented in class: Textbook chapters:
Wooldridge introductory: chapters 4 and 5. |
Exercise
Class November 16/18, 2009
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Christelle
Dumas November 18, 2009 13:30 - 16:30 |
Linear
Econometrics: 4. Instrumental variables
Slides
Papers
presented in class: Duflo
E., "Schooling and Labor Market Consequences of School Construction in
Indonesia: Evidence from an Unusual Policy Experiment", The American Economic Review, 91, 4,
795-813, 2001. Angrist
J. and A. Krueger, "Does Compulsory School Attendance Affect Schooling and
Earnings?", The Quarterly Journal of
Economics, 106, 4, 979-1014, 1991. Textbook chapters:
Wooldridge advanced: sections 5.1-5.2. |
Christelle
Dumas November 25, 2009 13:30 - 16:30 |
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Marc
Gurgand
December 2, 2009
13:30 - 16:30 |
Econometrics of evaluation: 1. Rubin's causal
model, controled experiments
Slides
Papers
presented in class: Krueger A.,
"Experimental estimates of education production function", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 2,
497-532, 1999.
Additional
references: Duflo
E., Glennerster R. & Kremer M., "Using randomization in development
economics research: a toolkit", NBER Technical working paper 333,
2006. Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 25.1-25.3. Wooldridge: sections
18.1-18.2. |
Exercise
Class December 7/8, 2009
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Marc
Gurgand December 9, 2009 9:30 - 12:30 |
Econometrics of evaluation: 2. Advanced instrumental variables: weak instruments and
heterogeneous effects
Slides
Papers
presented in class:
Angrist
J. & Evans W., "Children and their parents' labor supply:
Evidence from exogenous variation in family size", American
Economic Review, vol.88, 450-477, 1998.
Imbens G. &
Angrist J.,"Identification and estimation of local average treatment
effects" Econometrica, vol.62, 467-475, 1994.
Bound J.,
Jaeger D. & Baker R., "Problems with instrumental variables estimation
when the correlation between the instruments and the endogeneous
explanatory variable is weak", Journal of the American Statistical
Association, vol.90, 443-450, 1995.
Rosenzweig M.
& Wolpin K.,"Natural 'Natural experiments' in economics", Journal
of Economic Literature, vol.38, 827-874, 2000.
Additional
references:
Angrist J. &
Imbens G., "Two-stage least squares estimation of average causal effects
in models with variable treatment intensity", Journal of the American
Statistical Association, vol.90, 431-442, 1995.
Card D.,"Estimating
returns to schooling: progress on some persistent econometric problems"
Econometrica, vol.69, 1127-1160, 2001.
Cruz L. &
Moreira M., "On the validity of econometric techniques with weak
instruments", Journal of Human Ressources, vol.40, 394-410,
2005.
Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 4.8, 4.9 & 25.7. Wooldridge:
sections 18.4. |
Exercise
Class December 14, 2009
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Marc
Gurgand December 16, 2009 9:30 - 12:30 |
Policy
Evaluation: 3. Difference-in-difference and regression discontinuity
design
Slides
diff-in-diff Slides regression
discontinuity Papers presented in
class:
Duflo
E., "Schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in
Indonesia: Evidence from an unusual policy experiment", American
Economic Review, vol.91, n.4, September 2001.
Eissa N.&
Liebman J., "Labor supply response to the earned income tax credit",
Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.111, n.2, May 1996.
Angrist J. &
Lavy V.,"Using Maimonide's rule to estimate the effect of class size on
scholastic achievement", Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.114,
533-574, 1999.
Oreopoulos Ph.,
"Estimating average and local average treatment effects of education when
compulsory schooling laws really matter", American Economic Review,
vol.96, n.1, 2006.
Additional
references:
Abadie A.,
"Semiparametric difference-in-differences estimators", Review of
Economic Studies, vol. 72, 2005.
Athey S. &
Imbens G., "Identification and inference in nonlinear
difference-in-difference models", Econometrica, vol.74, March,
2006.
Bertrand
M., Duflo E. & Mullainathan S., "How much should we trust
differences-in-differences estimates", Quarterly Journal of
Economics, vol.119, n.1, February 2004.
Conley T. &
Taber Ch., "Inference with difference in differences with a small number
of policy changes", NBER technical working paper 312, June 2005.
Hahn J.,
Todd P. & Van der Klaauw W., "Identification and estimation of
treatment effects with a regression-discontinuity design",
Econometrica, vol.69, n.1, January, 2001.
Imbens G. &
Lemieux Th., "Regression discontinuity designs: A guide to practice", NBER
Technical working paper 337, 2007.
Lee D. &
Lemieux Th., "Regression discontinuity designs in economics", NBER
Working paper 14723, 2009.
Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 25.5, 25.6. |
Exercise
Class January 5/6, 2010
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Marc
Gurgand January 6, 2010 9:30 - 12:30 |
Policy
Evaluation: 4. Matching estimators
Slides
Papers
presented in class: Dehejia R. & et
Wahba S., "Propensity score matching methods for nonexperimental causal
studies", Review of Economics and
Statistics, 84, 151-161, 2002. Arceneaux
K., Gerber A. & Green D., "Comparing experimental and matching methods
using a large-scale field experiment on voter mobilization", Political
Analysis, vol.14, n.1, 37-62, 2006. Additional
references: Abadie A. &
Imbens G., "On the failure of the bootstrap for matching estimators",
Econometrica, 76, 1537-1558,
2008. Caliendo M.
& Kopeinig S., "Some practical guidance for the implementation of
propensity score matching", IZA Discussion paper, 1588, 2005. Frolich M.,
"Finite-sample properties of propensity-score matching and weighting
estimators", Review of Economics and
Statistics, 86, 77-90, 2004. Heckman J.,
Ichimura H. & Todd, "Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator:
Evidence from evaluating a job training programme", Review of Economic Studies, vol. 64,
605-654, 1997. Heckman J.,
Ichimura H. & Todd, "Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator",
Review of Economic Studies, vol.
65, 261-294, 1998. Guido Imbens:
"Semiparametric Estimation of Average Treatment Effects under Exogeneity:
A Review", Review of Economics and
Statistics, 86, 4-29, 2004. Lalonde R., "Evaluating
the econometric evaluations of training programs with experimental data",
American Economic Review, vol. 76,
n. 4, 604-620, 1986. Zhao Z., "Using matching
to estimate treatment effects: data requirement, matching metrics and
Monte Carlo evidence", Review of
Economics and Statistics, 86, 91-107, 2004. Zhao Z., "Sensitivity of
propensity score methods to the specifications",IZA Discussion paper,
1873, 2005. Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 25.4 & 25.8. Wooldridge:
sections 18.3. Stata codes
on Guido Imbens' website |
Marc
Gurgand January 13, 2010 9:30 - 12:30 |
Policy
Evaluation: 5. Data application - Implementing a random experiment
No Slides
No papers
presented in class
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Luc Behaghel
January 20, 2010 9:30 - 12:30 |
Models for binary outcomes
Slides
Lecture notes
Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 14.1 to 14.4
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Exercise
Class January 19/20, 2010
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Luc Behaghel
January 27, 2010 9:30 - 12:30 |
Models for binary outcomes
Slides
Lecture notes
Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 15.1 to 15.4
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Luc Behaghel
February 3, 2010 9:30 - 12:30 |
Corner solutions, censored data and selected sample
Slides
Lecture notes
Textbook chapters:
Cameron & Trivedi: sections 16.1 to 16.3
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Exercise
Class February 2/3, 2010
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Luc Behaghel
February 10, 2010 9:30 - 12:30 |
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Exercise
Class February 23/24, 2010
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Luc Behaghel
February 24, 2010 9:30 - 12:30 |
Data application: sample selectivity bias in a job search experiment
No slides
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Mélika Ben Salem
March 3, 2010 9:30 - 12:30 |
ARIMA Processes
Slides
Textbook chapters:
Hamilton: chapters 2, 3, 4, 17
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Exercise
Class March 9/10, 2010
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